| 
 April Fools! 
The US Embassy in Moscow is fine. Unlike the wild press reports in 
        America, the reaction of the average Russian to the bombing in Kosovo is 
        not to beat every NATO national (and Americans in particular) to a 
        bloody pulp. Now, don’t get me wrong, the Russians are livid that we are 
        bombing their Serbian ‘brothers’ without a clear cause, and 
        there have been a few tense moments, but I more scared of the crazy taxi 
        drivers than bands of vigilantes. 
Russia considers all the Yugoslavians as brother Slavs, born from the 
        same Old Rus of Kiev, Ukraine. As brothers, the Slavs love to fight each 
        other, but don’t like outside intervention in what they consider family 
        quarrels. Russians also see the NATO bombs falling on Serbia and wonder 
        how long before NATO, which now includes such close Russian neighbors as 
        Poland and the Czech Republic, starts to consider internal Russian 
        politics its business too. Are Serbian actions in Kosovo so far removed 
        from Russia’s dealings with Chechnya? 
On 
        Sunday, two Russians pulled up in front of the US Embassy in a SUV, and 
        one jumped out with a LAW (a small rocket grenade used against tanks), 
        and attempted to fire it at the Embassy. When it didn’t work (he forgot 
        to take off the safety!), and the Russian police opened fire, he dropped 
        the rocket and jumped into the truck as his accomplice shot back at the 
        cops while speeding away. 
While this scared a few of the Embassy staff, it is exactly why I 
        feel as safe in Moscow as I did in DC. See the men were not taking 
        actions against Americans, who are quite easy to spot in Moscow, or 
        against American owned cars, which are obvious with their yellow license 
        plates, but against a symbol of the US Government. 
Russians, after living for 70 years with a government that lied to 
        them constantly, and was inhumane to everybody, especially its own 
        people (read Gulag Archipelago for a clue), easily separate the actions 
        of the US government from individual Americans. When the bombing first 
        happened, my staff asked me, ‘Why does your government do 
        this?!’ Note the phrasing of the sentence. They did not accuse me 
        of taking part, or even supporting the bombings (which I don’t), but 
        asked why my government would do this action. 
On 
        the streets of Moscow, life moves in the endless cycles every city 
        experiences. Today is the fifth straight day of warm sunshine and clear 
        skies. We are all too busy rejoicing in the springtime to hate each 
        other. This is not to say that there is no trouble in Russia because of 
        the NATO airstrikes. 
Those who dislike America, those who desire a Slavic reunification, 
        and especially those who smart from the disintegration of the USSR and 
        it’s superpower status, find a good cause in Kosovo. They can be 
        patriotic, militaristic, and nostalgic, all at the same time, without 
        actually getting shot at or loosing their homes to falling bombs. All 
        across Russia, ultra-nationalistic groups are signing up recruits to 
        fight in Serbia. 
Don’t get scared about an army marching from Moscow though. Many are 
        old patriots, who fought in WWII, or disillusioned Afghan/Chechen vets 
        who returned home to a jobless existence, and plenty of random teenagers 
        looking for excitement. Also, once the bombings stop, and Russians get a 
        good laugh when whatever NATO tries to implement in Kosovo fails (and 
        I’m sure it will), Russia will return to what it does best in the 
        summer, eat, drink, and dacha. 
Moscow Times April 1, 1999 
Expatriates Wonder If Moscow Is Safe 
By Oksana Yablokova Staff Writer 
Fearful of angry confrontations with leather-jacketed youths or maybe 
        even Stalinist babushki, foreigners in Moscow are looking over their 
        shoulders and keeping their voices down. But while rumors of attacks on 
        foreigners and foreign-owned businesses have flourished, diplomats, 
        police and business associations say there hasn’t been any real upsurge 
        in harassment of citizens from NATO countries. 
Russians from the Kremlin to the corner store are outraged at NATO’s 
        bombing campaign in Yugoslavia – outrage that can be seen in the broken 
        windows and splashes of paint on the U.S. Embassy. Concerned talk is 
        making the rounds of an expatriate community that had grown comfortable 
        in Moscow, but is suddenly wondering whether it is again dangerous to be 
        here. 
Certainly Sunday’s failed grenade attack and machine gun firefight 
        outside the U.S. Embassy would give anyone pause for thought.  And 
        the violence has not been confined to the embassies. 
The Uncle Sam’s Cafe on Myasnitskaya Ulitsa in central Moscow, for 
        example, was attacked at around 6 p.m. on Saturday by a group of 
        teenagers chanting ‘war on America.’ Cafe director Yelena 
        Ugarova said in a telephone interview Wednesday that the teenagers 
        smashed the cafe’s windows and its neon sign with bricks they had picked 
        up at a nearby construction site. ‘They quickly ran away. It was so 
        unexpected, we could not even think of detaining any of them,’ 
        Ugarova said. She said glass from the windows damaged dining tables and 
        ruined the cafe’s pool table. 
Some foreigners also tell of frightening run-ins with angry 
        protesters. Eva, a British citizen, responded to a query on the Expat 
        List, an e-mail forum for foreigners in Moscow, that she and her two 
        daughters were harassed by a gang of skinheads near Manezh shopping mall 
        last weekend. ‘As we hailed the car, I spoke loudly to my daughters 
        so they could hear over the noise. This drew the attention of a gang of 
        skinheads, who immediately surrounded us chanting ‘Yankees go home.’ Not 
        an appropriate time to point out we are Brits,’ she wrote. But Eva 
        and her daughters were rescued by a cab driver who drove them home and 
        ‘refused to take any money at all, saying that the skinheads did 
        not represent Russians.’ 
However, from these and a few other isolated incidents, a host of 
        rumors has been born. Some talk of an invasion of MacDonald’s or of the 
        popular Starlite Diner by toughs seeking to avenge their Slav brothers 
        in Serbia. Others recount how this or that particular expatriate was 
        beaten up or harassed for looking American, or for speaking English, or 
        even for reading The Moscow Times on the metro. But managers of those 
        restaurants deny all such reports, and in most cases investigated by The 
        Moscow Times, alleged victims turn out to have suffered little more than 
        a few harsh words critical of the war their nation happens to be waging 
        in Europe. 
A driver for the U.S. Embassy who was allegedly run off the road by 
        another driver who objected to his diplomatic license plates, contacted 
        by telephone, denied the report. Still, the U.S. Embassy has advised 
        employees to think twice before driving cars with plates that identify 
        them as part of the American diplomatic mission, and several foreigners 
        interviewed over the past two days said they were laying lower than 
        usual. 
American Daniel Wolfe, chief operations officer at Troika Dialog 
        investment company, said he tries to avoid staying out late at night or 
        speaking English on the street. ‘There are people who just enjoy 
        violence and extremist behavior,’ Wolfe said, adding that usually 
        such people don’t have many political motives for such actions. ‘I 
        noticed a couple of dark looks in transport but it could be my 
        imagination, ‘ said Daniel Rothstein, an American lawyer with a 
        British law firm. 
The British Embassy recommends its citizens take reasonable 
        precautions, but it doesn’t expect political violence against 
        individuals. The U.S. State Department has not seen a need to update its 
        web site’s travel advisory page for Russia, which already contains the 
        usual safety advisories. ‘Our assessment of the situation is that 
        we don’t expect incidents of abuse to be directed at individuals. There 
        may be isolated spontaneous cases, but we don’t expect them to happen a 
        lot,’ a British Embassy spokesman said. 
The spokesman said the embassy had registered no cases of violence 
        against British citizens in Moscow. So far, he said he has only heard of 
        a few cases of verbal abuse where people have asked questions like 
        ‘Why are you bombing?’ ‘We take the situation seriously 
        but don’t want to arouse panic,’ he added. 
‘None of our members have reported anything so far,’ said 
        Scott Blacklin, president of the American Chamber of Commerce in Moscow. 
        ‘We are aware of anti-American sentiments and we are monitoring the 
        issue closely. But we are just at the beginning of our survey.’ 
Moscow police said they had noticed no surge of crimes against 
        foreigners. Police are still seeking two men with whom they exchanged 
        gunfire in front of the U.S. Embassy on the Garden Ring on Sunday, after 
        one of the men pointed a grenade launcher at the building but apparently 
        could not get it to fire. On Wednesday, a group of demonstrators was 
        turned away before it could reach the embassy, where police have barred 
        protests following Sunday’s incident. Instead, the demonstrators marched 
        through Moscow. 
The U.S. Embassy did not return phone calls Wednesday. Officials at 
        the U.S. Consulate in St. Petersburg have issued a safety warning urging 
        people to avoid demonstrations and to refrain from speaking English 
        loudly in the street. 
5 April 1999 Johnson’s Russia List 
Russia and Kosovo 
By Dale R Herspring 
There has been a lot of talk about Panslavism as a motivating factor 
        behind Russia’s concern with and potential involvement in Kosovo. While 
        all of us recognize the importance of that factor, I believe it its 
        importance is greatly exaggerated. From my perspective, there are two 
        other factors that are of much greater significance. The first is 
        Russia’s fall from grace, and the second is the internal disaster facing 
        the country. 
Russia is not the first country to see its standing in the 
        international community plumment. The British have been going through it 
        since the end of the World War II, and even the French will be the last 
        to recognize it, they have been going through the same process. There is 
        a problem in comparing the Russian case with what happened in France and 
        Britain, however. London and Paris have had forty years to adjust to 
        their new situation in the world. For Russia, the collapse came almost 
        over night. 
Then there is the internal situation. The Brits never had to face 
        such a situation. Many people,this writer included, worry that Russia 
        could be on the very of breaking up. I hope this does not happen, but 
        the feeling of frustration on the part of most Russians is obvious. 
What I am suggesting is that Russian concern with Serbia has less to 
        do with the human dimension and more to do with their loss of power. The 
        fact is that they cannot do much about what is going on. They send an 
        eves-dropping or intelligence ship to the Adriatic. And there are 
        suggestions that they will send 6 more ships. 
First, I would like to make it clear that I have great respect for 
        Russians as sailors. I have been on their warships and seen them 
        perform. They are first class. The problem is that the equipment they 
        have to work with is out-dated and in horrible condition. It doesn’t 
        work half of the time. I only hope that if they send these ships to the 
        Adriatic they won’t break-down thereby forcing NATO ships to tow or 
        repair them. Russia’s humiliation would be even greater. 
Finally, I think it is important for us to get through our head that 
        Russia is much higher on the vital interest list than is the case with 
        Serbia. The latter will be resolved in on way or another, but Russia is 
        critical to us. Brent Scowcroft is right in suggesting that we should 
        not isolate Russia They will act in a sometimes silly and infantile 
        manner, but I think we should over look as much as possible their 
        comments. 
In fact, I suspect that Primakov is among the most ‘pissed 
        off’ of all of the world’s negotiators. Indeed, he has clearly been 
        stuffed by Milosevic and cannot be happy about it. At the same time, he 
        could be critical later on once a peace settlement becomes a 
        possibility. 
April 4, 1999 
A Russian Reaction to Kosovo 
By Elena in Pennslyvania 
It is amazing how America has a combination of two approaches: to 
        ‘introduce a democracy’ and ‘fairness’ everywhere in 
        the world and a total indifference and/or ignorance of many people, or a 
        ‘unanimous support’ which certainly does not require any 
        effort of critical or any thinking. It reminds me a True/False or a more 
        ‘sophisticated’ multiple choice problem, and everyone is proud 
        that guessed the ‘right’ answer. 
It also reminds me a communist party organization/Komsomol meeting at 
        some Soviet place in my days, when everyone raises hand to finish with 
        the voting and to go home as soon as possible. The only difference is 
        that in the Soviet Union everyone was doing it absolutely knowing that 
        they were playing in a ‘pretend game’ with maybe a couple 
        ‘koo-koo’s, but here so many people are quite serious here, 
        there is a couple of ‘koo-koos’ who play the pretend game. A 
        couple of comparisons come to my mind when I think about Kosovo. 
It is like a many years long conflict between husband and wife who 
        have been doing a lot of nasty and cruel things to each other, and then 
        not a neighbor from the next apartment/house, but from Texas or Mongolia 
        or Africa comes over, beats up husband (or wife) and installs the 
        Mongolian or Texas laws in the house under a threat of setting the house 
        on fire, so everyone is supposed to wear a big hat or sleep on the 
        floor. And when one of the conflicting parties put on a baseball cap, 
        the ‘neighbor’ sets the house on fire. How is about that? 
I am shocked with the international ignorance of this very 
        professional and resourceful country towards Russia and other nations. 
        It seems that everyone here expects Russia immediately follow the US 
        Zeus rules because of US loans and aid to Russia. 
Getting back to my ‘family oriented’ comparison, if a wife 
        who is really smart, educated, professional etc. and earns a lot of 
        money, the husband shows respect and does not dare do anything without 
        her approval, but as soon as she happens to earn less for any reasons he 
        shows no respect, does not ask her opinion on anything, threatens not to 
        feed her or to allow to use telephone, and really does not care and 
        shows that he does not care. And also hints that if you do not obey, I 
        will beat you. And then he is surprised about her rebellious behavior? 
        Possibly, there are some nations who would show the obedience, but NOT 
        RUSSIA! 
The Russian guys also are stupid enough to jump into the fighting 
        mode. They have this INSTINCT to have power, to control, and have no 
        sense of the reality. I also think many people here do not understand 
        that Russians get into fighting not because they approve Serbs but 
        because the threat of a powerful stranger is so frightening and requires 
        people unite and stand up for the community. I watch the Serb and Moscow 
        news on CSPAN at 11 p.m. (how many Americans would tune on this cable 
        station, if they have it, so late?). The Serb and Moscow news, 
        especially the Serb news are another ‘fruit’ of propaganda. So 
        it really takes a Russian born skill to take an effort and to sort out 
        facts and ‘imagination for manipulation’. I love how both CNN 
        and Serbs can show one moment many times as if it happened many times. I 
        guess, it is within international journalistic ethics… 
5 April 1999 Itar-Tass 
RUSSIAN VOLUNTEERS NOT BEING SENT TO YUGOSLAVIA 
MOSCOW, – Lieutenant General Viktor Isaichenkov, deputy head of the 
        Spiritual Heritage movement, refuted on Monday in an interview with Tass 
        the reports of some mass media organs on the alleged sending of 
        volunteers to Yugoslavia by their movement and on their arrival in 
        Belgrade. 
‘This is somebody’s joke. Of course, we neither sent anybody to 
        Yugoslavia, nor intend to do anything of the sort,’ Isaichenkov 
        said. He explained that Yugoslavia had not appealed to Russia, or 
        ‘to some specific organisations which can make decisions’ to 
        help them by sending volunteers. This is why no one is going to send 
        people there, especially those without special training. 
The movement believes that at present Yugoslavia needs moral, 
        humanitarian and military-technical assistance, and not Russian 
        volunteers, most of whom, not being professional military men, will 
        become just ‘cannon fodder.’ ‘Only adventurists can 
        assume responsibility for sending people there, who have not passed a 
        proper check-up from the point of view of their mental health, physical 
        condition and morale, and our organisation will never do anything like 
        that,’ Isaichenkov said. 
He admitted at the same time, that the central headquarters of the 
        Yugoslavia Defence Committee headed by him, which was created within the 
        framework of the left-wing patriotically-minded People’s Patriotic Union 
        of Russia, is ‘registering the volunteers.’ This is the last 
        of the spheres of work for the assistance to Yugoslavia, he said. The 
        most important thing for them now is ‘moral support for the 
        Yugoslav nation, as well as the organisation of humanitarian assistance 
        and denunciation of the NATO aggression,’ he said. 
6 April 1999, Johnson’s Russia List 
Offering from Helen Womack 
By Helen Womack in Moscow 
My Russian husband Costya’s rock and fashion firm sells flags: 
        football team pennants, Russian tricolours, British and American flags. 
        Last week, one of the junior staff took a Stars and Stripes and burnt it 
        outside the US embassy to protest against the bombing of Yugoslavia. 
        ‘Why don’t you take a Union Jack and burn it under Helen’s 
        window?’ said Costya. At this the warehouse worker, whose name is 
        Pavel, paused for thought. Instead, he came home to us and we drank tea 
        and talked about his feelings. ‘I hate the Americans. America is 
        the embodiment of evil. Today they are bombing the Serbs. Tomorrow it 
        could be us,’ he said. 
In the course of the conversation, it emerged that Pavel thought the 
        waves of refugees pouring from Kosovo were fleeing from Nato air strikes 
        rather than the Serb secret police, who have intensified their 
        ‘ethnic cleansing’ since Belgrade was bombed. Pavel, 18 and 
        poorly educated, may be wrong but the fact that he and millions of 
        Russians like him perceive the Balkan crisis in this way means that the 
        West has, to say the least, a serious public relations problem. 
That Russia’s Communists and nationalists should make political 
        capital out of the war comes as no surprise. (The utterly cynical 
        Vladimir Zhirinovsky, now wearing a uniform to parliament, is 
        encouraging Russian youths to enlist as volunteers to help the 
        ‘Slav brothers’ in Serbia.) That the Kremlin, while pushing a 
        diplomatic solution, meddles at the edges, for example by sending a 
        reconnaissance ship to the Adriatic, is also par for the course. 
What is stunning — and should worry the West — is the extent of 
        genuinely felt outrage at Nato’s behaviour among ordinary, decent 
        Russians in all walks of life. For this portends a new cold war with a 
        major nation we had come to regard as a friend. The media here has given 
        balanced coverage of the war from intrepid correspondents both in 
        Belgrade and the valley of despair on the Kosovo-Macedonia border. The 
        full facts are available to those Russians who wish to know them. And 
        opinion polls show that 92 per cent of Russians oppose the bombing. 
It is impossible to meet a Russian now without talking about 
        Yugoslavia. I went to see my tax adviser this week and we talked about 
        the war. Alexander’s objections to the air strikes were twofold: that 
        Nato had set a dangerous precedent by riding roughshod over the UN and 
        attacking a sovereign country over an internal ethnic dispute; and that 
        the Balkan problem was far two tangled to be solved by crude bombing, 
        which was only making matters worse. 
‘Tito settled the Albanians in Kosovo, rather as Stalin moved 
        populations in the Soviet Union,’ he said. ‘The Albanians had 
        bigger families than the Serbs, so that they came to outnumber them in 
        the historic heart of Serbia. There is a Serb point of view here too. 
        Why are you taking sides in a complicated issue you know too little 
        about? Why don’t you listen to Russia? Do you think because we are 
        economically weak, our opinion does not count?’ 
Nobody here is defending Slobodan Milosevic. Indeed, the Russians 
        pity the Albanians and a convoy of humanitarian aid from Moscow will go 
        not only to Serb civilians but also to the refugees in Macedonia and 
        Montenegro. It is just that Russians are appalled at the chaos the West 
        has unwittingly unleashed. ‘Now you have got all these refugees you 
        did not bargain for,’ said Yulia, an unemployed scientist and 
        friend. ‘Do you honestly want them in your comfortable European 
        countries? And if we Russians end up with a hardline, anti-Western 
        regime instead of the normal society we wanted for our children, that 
        will be partly thanks to Nato too.’ 
People in the West may not realise this but, after the fall of 
        Communism, many Russians invested in the ideals of democracy and human 
        rights, believing us with a childlike trust they would never give their 
        own corrupt leaders. Now they see what looks to them like our aggression 
        and they feel betrayed. 
Mitya, a 16-year-old to whom I give English lessons, asked me some 
        questions I found hard to answer: ‘When we were talking about 
        Chechnya, you said violence never solved anything. So why are you 
        bombing now? You said Britain is different from America. So why do you 
        always do what the Americans say?’ 
Mitya’s intelligent, once Western-leaning father said he had come to 
        the conclusion that real democracy did not exist anywhere, an 
        unutterably depressing thought for all those, like me, who have devoted 
        years to interpreting Russia for the West and the West for Russia. 
Now the thaw is over and the chill has set in again. The US embassy 
        in Moscow is advising foreigners not to speak English on the streets. A 
        Russian military officer with whom I am friendly because of our shared 
        experience in Afghanistan rang me to say that if anybody hurt me, I 
        could rely on his physical protection. 
Dear God, it has come to that. 
12 April 1999 Johnson’s Russia List 
THE CLINTON DOCTRINE 
By Boris Kagarlitsky 
MOSCOW – In 1968, when Soviet forces invaded Czechoslovakia, Western 
        journalists began speaking of a “Brezhnev Doctrine”. Its essence was 
        simple: the sovereignty of the Warsaw Pact states was limited. If 
        something went amiss, the Soviet “big brother” would decide who would 
        be punished and how. 
Since then, an enormous amount has changed, but the desire of big 
        brother to poke his nose into other people’s business remains unaltered. 
        Now that there is only one superpower in the world, the right to judge 
        and punish sovereign states has been taken over by the president of the 
        United States. 
In place of the Brezhnev Doctrine, we now have the Clinton Doctrine. 
        When the bombing of Yugoslavia began, it became clear that what was 
        involved was not just an attempt by a luckless womaniser to restore the 
        nation’s respect for him by killing a few hundred or a few thousand 
        people. No, we were confronted with a developed political concept, one 
        that would be consistently put into effect. So what is the Clinton 
        Doctrine all about? 
If Louis XIV declared, “The state? I am the state!”, American 
        leaders are now declaring, “The world community? That’s the US!” How 
        other peoples, and even their governments, might react to this means 
        nothing. The US, acting alone, decides on behalf of everyone. Any need 
        for the United Nations Organisation disappears. 
Democratic procedures in the countries of the West are also 
        superfluous. The second rule of the Clinton Doctrine can be set out in 
        this fashion: if the views of the people contradict those of the US 
        president, any genuinely democratic government will tell the people to 
        go to hell, and will act in line with its duty as an ally. If a 
        government pays any regard to the views of its citizens, then it is not 
        a truly democratic government. 
The third rule runs as follows: the US acts simultaneously as 
        accomplice, prosecutor, judge and executioner. The world leader is not 
        bound by any legal formalities. It is for the US president alone to 
        decide what is “moral” and what is not. 
US leaders constantly declare their determination to punish evil 
        dictators. But starting with Panama’s General Noriega, whom the 
        Americans overthrew and put in jail on drug-trafficking charges, a 
        strange principle has applied. All the foreign leaders whom the US has 
        publicly punished have at one stage or another in their careers been 
        political sidekicks of the US. Noriega defended US interests in Latin 
        America, Saddam Hussein was supported as a counter-weight to Islamic 
        Iran, and the US relied on Milosevic when it needed to force the Bosnian 
        Serbs to accept the US-formulated Dayton accords. 
Naturally, everyone the US punishes is an evil human rights violator. 
        The trouble is – so are those the US supports. No-one was upset by 
        Serbian policies in Kosova when the need was to strengthen the West’s 
        positions in Bosnia. Turkey can carry out ethnic cleansing, since Turkey 
        is a NATO member. The US government can bomb whoever it likes without 
        having to answer morally, politically or legally for its actions, so 
        long as the victims are not American taxpayers. The less logic here, the 
        stronger the position of the US as the leading world power, since 
        everyone must feel constantly under threat. 
Finally, the last rule of the Clinton doctrine: the technological and 
        military superiority of the US as the leading world power allows it to 
        do whatever it likes with total impunity. This final principle underpins 
        all the others. Victors, as we all know, are not put on trial. Allies 
        know that it is better to share in the triumph of force than to attract 
        suspicions of disloyalty. The victims understand that resistance is 
        useless. 
Victory wipes the slate clean. The human catastrophe in Kosova can be 
        put down to the evil deeds of the Serbs, especially since the actions of 
        the Serbian authorities in the region have indeed been shocking. The 
        hospitals and schools damaged by NATO’s “pinpoint” bombing can be 
        categorised as military targets, and the complaints of the victims can 
        be described as hostile propaganda. But all this works only so long as 
        the victory of the super-power is not in doubt. What if doubts arise? 
The Clinton Doctrine suffers from the same problem as the Brezhnev 
        Doctrine before it. Such doctrines corrupt and lead into error the 
        people who proclaim them. Now that American bombs are falling on 
        Yugoslavia, and NATO is preparing to send ground forces, pessimists are 
        warning that for America, the Balkans could become a second Vietnam. The 
        pessimists are wrong. The Balkans will not be a second Vietnam, but a 
        European Afghanistan. 
The Soviet intervention in Afghanistan resulted from the complete 
        certainty of the Brezhnev Politburo, confirmed by its experience with 
        Czechoslovakia in 1968, that it could act with impunity. But unlike the 
        civilised Czechs, who knew it was pointless to fight against a 
        superpower, the Afghans had little grasp of geopolitics. Consequently, 
        they fought back, and the superpower turned out to be strikingly weak. 
        The USSR was incapable of waging a drawn-out struggle, and as soon as 
        this became apparent, its psychological and “moral” superiority 
        vanished. 
In Clinton’s response to the conflict in Kosova, there has been a 
        good deal to recall the mental habits of Brezhnev and his colleagues. 
        The destabilisation of the situation in the Balkans gave the United 
        States an opportunity to demonstrate once again the invincible power of 
        the Clinton Doctrine. NATO never tried to settle the conflict. Its aim 
        was quite different – to occupy the region. This was why the West sought 
        to bind both sides in Kosova to terms that were clearly unacceptable, 
        and which the Albanians as well as the Serbs tried to resist; the 
        Albanians agreed to sign the peace agreement only after becoming 
        convinced that the Serbs would not do so. 
US policy in the Balkans is justified on the basis that the wicked 
        Serbs have to be punished. But the Serbs now have their own 
        justification, in the need to stop the high-handed Americans. To any 
        normal human being, it is clear that Milosevic’s policies in Kosova have 
        been monstrous. But the experience of recent years shows that for a 
        superpower to be able to act with impunity on a global scale is far more 
        dangerous. This is understood even by the Kosova Albanian leader Ibrahim 
        Rogova, who in a vain attempt to stop the NATO bombing signed an 
        agreement with his long-time foe Milosevic. But when the US government 
        has set itself up as the moral standard for the entire world, it cannot 
        take account of the views of Serbs, Arabs, Somalis, or even of its own 
        citizens, trying perplexedly to find Kosova on the map. 
The Clinton Doctrine is suffering the same fate in Yugoslavia as the 
        Brezhnev Doctrine suffered in Afghanistan. The resistance put up by the 
        Serbs is totally changing the rules of the game. The string of NATO 
        military failures is turning into a crisis of the whole system. Once the 
        US ceases to seem invulnerable, its special position in the world, which 
        allows it to ignore international law, also becomes subject to doubt. 
        Then everyone remembers their rights, and starts putting up resistance. 
The growing military resistance of the Serbs, and the disillusionment 
        of many Kosova Albanians with their NATO “protectors”, are part of a 
        far more powerful shift whose symptoms are apparent not only in the 
        Balkans. The facade of loyalty mounted by America’s allies, like that of 
        Brezhnev’s allies in the Warsaw Pact, overlies an enormous potential for 
        popular revolt. During the period of the Warsaw Pact, anti-Sovietism 
        gradually became a general ideology, uniting the profoundly dissimilar 
        Poles, Hungarians, Romanians and Afghans. There is nothing to bring 
        people together like the existence of a common enemy. 
NATO has survived the Warsaw Pact by a whole ten years. But there are 
        no eternal empires. The Pax Americana may turn out to be no more durable 
        than the “fraternal alliance” headed by the Soviet Politburo.  |